The British Public Believes Immigration Is Rising, but Figures Show a Sharp Decline

Overview

Recent statistics released on Thursday reveal that net migration to the United Kingdom has plummeted by nearly 80 percent since its peak in 2023. Despite widespread public perception that immigration is on the rise, the data tells a very different story.

What the Numbers Say

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that net migration fell from a high of around 600,000 individuals in 2023 to just under 120,000 in the most recent twelve‑month period. This represents the steepest drop in a decade.

Breaking the figures down:

• EU arrivals decreased by 72 %.
• Non‑EU arrivals fell by 68 %.
• Student visa holders and seasonal workers accounted for the bulk of the remaining inflow.

Why Public Opinion Differs

Surveys continue to show that a majority of Britons think immigration levels are climbing. Analysts attribute this gap to several factors:

• Media coverage that often highlights isolated incidents involving newcomers.
• Persistent political narratives that link immigration to economic and social challenges.
• A lack of widespread dissemination of the latest official statistics.

Potential Drivers of the Decline

Experts point to a combination of policy changes and external pressures:

• The post‑Brexit points‑based immigration system has tightened entry requirements for many skilled workers.
• Higher living costs and a strong pound have made the UK a less attractive destination for migrants seeking better wages.
• Global economic uncertainty and tighter visa rules in other major destinations have redirected flows away from Britain.

Implications for the Labour Market

While a lower net migration figure eases some public concerns, it also raises questions about the country’s ability to fill skill shortages. Sectors such as healthcare, agriculture, and technology have historically relied on overseas talent.

Industry leaders are urging the government to strike a balance between controlling numbers and ensuring a steady pipeline of qualified workers.

Looking Ahead

The ONS will publish quarterly updates, allowing policymakers and the public to track whether this downward trend continues. In the meantime, the disconnect between perception and reality highlights the need for clearer communication of migration data.