In the summer of 2023, the highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza virus reached the remote sub‑Antarctic island of South Georgia. Within weeks, scientists observed a dramatic decline in the island’s elephant seal population, the largest breeding ground for the species on the planet.
Pre‑outbreak surveys estimated that more than 50,000 breeding females used the island’s rocky beaches each year. After the virus spread, field teams recorded a sudden disappearance of a substantial portion of that number, with preliminary counts suggesting that over half of the females may have been lost during the peak breeding season.
Although H5N1 is primarily a bird pathogen, researchers believe the virus was introduced to the seal colony via infected seabirds that share the same foraging grounds. The virus likely crossed the species barrier through direct contact with contaminated carcasses or through the shared marine environment.
A multidisciplinary team from the British Antarctic Survey, the University of Cambridge, and the Wildlife Conservation Society conducted necropsies on the few carcasses recovered. Their analysis confirmed the presence of H5N1 RNA in lung tissue, establishing a clear causal link between the outbreak and the seal deaths.
The loss of such a large cohort of breeding females threatens the long‑term viability of the South Georgia elephant seal population. With fewer mothers to raise pups, the colony’s growth rate could decline sharply for several generations, potentially altering the entire ecosystem that depends on these apex marine predators.
Conservationists are urging immediate measures to monitor and contain future outbreaks, including:
“The South Georgia event is a stark reminder that disease can cross species boundaries and have catastrophic effects on wildlife,” said Dr. Eleanor Hughes, lead epidemiologist on the study. “We must invest in proactive health monitoring if we are to safeguard the resilience of these iconic marine mammals.”
As researchers continue to assess the full impact of the outbreak, the hope remains that targeted interventions and stricter biosecurity measures will prevent a repeat of this tragedy in other vulnerable marine populations.